When the economy is good, the price of raw materials will rise normally, and the price will rise when the economy is bad, indicating that the economy is getting worse.
Talk about the price hike in recent years, including the first half of 2017
The first round is four trillion after the increase in demand, not benign, because the short-term is good, the latter may be long-term deviation. It's gotta be normal.
The next thing that didn't work out was that Mino was vaccinated.
Rising raw materials, because the currency is too much, there is expected to maintain value.
Raw materials plunged because more currencies were unable to support the downturn and demand plummeted
2016 and 2017 of the surge, the source is to capacity, environmental protection, but not the core benign factors. Why go up? What time does it go up? Downstream manufacturing collapses, and a small number of surviving lower reaches have a price raising capability that is completely different from the economy! Prices must rise, otherwise bankruptcy, and the decline in demand, this price will not be more money, profits increase, but sales can not be maintained or just. Only a few upstream raw materials really benefit.
Continue to benefit? Impossible！ With the weakening of the international competitiveness, hollowing out, price increases can not continue. With the hoarding finding that no one is picking up, it's going to crash, and in a word, the roller coaster is a sign of internal deterioration.
These cycles are completely different from the economy, and you know. Grasp the process and timing of the node itself.
